New Battleground Polls Show Clinton Recovering from Slip, but Race Still Close

Surveys | November 6, 2016

KANSAS CITY, MO – Axiom Strategies and Remington Research Group surveyed eight battleground states Tuesday, Nov. 1, thru Wednesday, Nov. 2. These are the same eight states polled on Oct. 23 and Oct. 30 by Axiom and Remington.

In the Oct. 30th survey, we found a race trending toward Donald Trump following the FBI announcement of a renewed investigation into Hillary Clinton’s emails. At that point, Trump led in Florida, Nevada, North Carolina and Ohio and was within the margin of error in Colorado and Pennsylvania.

Now, we find the race has tightened in most battleground states. Clinton has pulled away in Wisconsin – she now leads by eight points there – and Trump still holds leads just at the margin of error in Florida and North Carolina. Clinton leads Colorado and Pennsylvania by only one point just as Trump leads Nevada and Ohio by one point.

It appears the numbers have leveled out a week after the announcement of the renewed FBI investigation of Clinton.

Pennsylvania has inched closer to a tie race in each of the past two surveys by Remington Research, down from a three-point Clinton lead on Oct. 23, to a two-point lead on Oct. 30, and now just a one-point lead. In Colorado, Clinton has weathered the fallout of the FBI investigation better, dipping from a two-point lead on Oct. 23 to a one-point lead on Oct. 30 and in the most recent survey, but both remain well within striking distance should Trump’s campaign turn its voters out.

“We’re looking at a margin of error race in seven of the eight battleground states we surveyed. Either one of these candidates could realistically run the table in these seven states. The big question is if Donald Trump can mobilize his voters and get them to the polls, if he can’t then he will lose,” said Titus Bond, Director of Remington Research Group.

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